Black Swan Thought

by Ryan on January 26, 2008

I bet this Monte Carlo fire, with the shut down of the strip, the Miss America contest this weekend, lost revenue at the Hotel and Casino, damage to the building and reputation, potential lawsuits, etc… will be one of the TOP losers in casino history for the company that manages “risk” everyday

TheExecutive putting Taleb’s The Black Swan down to a single sentence. And also, why we have no idea what we’re talking about when it comes to predictions and planning.

{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }

Anonymous January 27, 2008 at 6:54 pm

Irrelevant to this post, but PBS has Commanding Heights: The Battle for the World Economy streaming here:

http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/commandingheights/hi/story/index.html

Sorry if you already knew this.

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Anonymous January 28, 2008 at 10:38 am

I’d be interested in reading any other thoughts you had about the Black Swan. I’m about half way through and find it very interesting so far.

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Ryan Holiday January 28, 2008 at 12:18 pm

Email me if you want

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