Assuming that either Taleb or Adams might be correct (and personal observations alone suggest neither are far off the mark), that ability to ‘go with the flow’ is absolutely essential to living a sane, if not happy, life. It seems to me that the most successful people benefit from their adaptability as much as their smarts or work ethic.

I think that this is a piece of the puzzle, its true uncontrolable randomness/serendipity play a huge role in life. There is no reason to get upset over things outside of your ability to control or predict. But this perspective also ignores the “X” factors that are controllable- factors that are directly attrituable to success.

Pushing through the dip harder/faster then your competitors. Being that inch better in quality of products/ideas. Using principles of strategy in Greene’s books. All X-factors that lead to success- and that can make the difference between being just another Mercedes and being the tricked out Mercedes that reaches the tipping point to become phenomenally successful.

Success is stochastic, Gaussian probability distributions don’t take into account extenuating circumstances, the distinction between random and pseudorandom is irrelevant if the system you would be simulating is too complex. Oh, and that trusting theory instead of practical understanding is flawed.

His first entry at the bottom of the page concerning the distinction between “platonic uncertainty” and “aplatonic uncertainty” and how it may fit into my day-to-day life is especially interesting. I also admire his ability to notice aesthetic beauty in randomness.

ps. That link takes me to an amazon listing of Geraldo’s new book. I don’t know what you’re trying to get at with that but I figure I’d let you know in case it’s a mistake.